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Members of the Taliban intelligence special forces guard the military airfield in Kabul, Afghanistan, September 5, 2021. WANA (West Asia News Agency) via REUTERS ATTENTION EDITORS - THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. (Afghanistan) (Photo Provided by ロイター/アフロ)
Xi Jinping’s Scenario behind the Taliban’s Victory: Turning Point in 2016
2021-09-29
Behind the scenes of the Taliban’s victory is a scenario by Xi Jinping. It was triggered by the assassination of Taliban leader Mullah Mansour by the U.S. military in 2016. This article examines Xi Ji……
KABUL, AFGHANISTAN- AUGUST 31: Taliban celebrate after the last U.S. troops left Hamid Karzai International Airport as the completion of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, in Kabul, Afghanistan on August 31, 2021. Haroon Sabawoon / Anadolu Agency/ABACAPRESS.COM (Photo Provided by Abaca/Aflo)
KABUL, AFGHANISTAN- AUGUST 31: Taliban celebrate after the last U.S. troops left Hamid Karzai International Airport as the completion of the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan, in Kabul, Afghanistan on August 31, 2021. Haroon Sabawoon / Anadolu Agency/ABACAPRESS.COM (Photo Provided by Abaca/Aflo)
How Will China Address the Taliban, Who Salute in Celebration of Their Independence with Guns Blazing?
2021-09-29
As soon as the U.S. troops completely withdrew, the Taliban continuously fired artillery in celebration of independence. The first report in China covered this scene and the abstention of China and Ru……
U.S. service members stand during a ceremony on the thirteenth anniversary of the 9/11 terrorist attacks in front of the World Trade Center Memorial, at Bagram Airfield, Afghanistan Thursday, Sept. 11, 2014. (AP Photo/Massoud Hossaini)
U.S. service members stand during a ceremony on the thirteenth anniversary of the 9/11 terrorist attacks in front of the World Trade Center Memorial, at Bagram Airfield, Afghanistan Thursday, Sept. 11, 2014. (AP Photo/Massoud Hossaini)
The United States’ Abandonment of Bagram Air Base Spreads Terrorism to the World
2021-09-29
In China, people are interested in security under the Taliban, and media reports are based on statements by U.S. Republican Congress members and the Pentagon that the U.S. military’s abandonment of Ba……
Afghans board a U.S. Air Force C-17 Globemaster III transport plane during an evacuation at Hamid Karzai International Airport, Afghanistan, August 22, 2021. Picture taken August 22, 2021. U.S. Air Force/Handout via REUTERS. THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. (Photo provided by U.S. Air Force/REUTERS/aflo)
Afghans board a U.S. Air Force C-17 Globemaster III transport plane during an evacuation at Hamid Karzai International Airport, Afghanistan, August 22, 2021. Picture taken August 22, 2021. U.S. Air Force/Handout via REUTERS. THIS IMAGE HAS BEEN SUPPLIED BY A THIRD PARTY. (Photo provided by U.S. Air Force/REUTERS/aflo)
Like the Chinese Communist Army Scrambling for the Japanese Army Immediately after Its Defeat: The Taliban Wants the U.S. Embassy to Remain
2021-09-28
While the Taliban had fought the U.S. military as an enemy, they now want the U.S. Embassy to remain and have asked Turkey to manage the airport. This reminds me of the Chinese Communist Army scrambli……
米英豪のAUKUSに関するオンライン会談におけるバイデン大統領(写真:ロイター/アフロ)
米英豪のAUKUSに関するオンライン会談におけるバイデン大統領(写真:ロイター/アフロ)
AUKUSは対中戦略に有効か?――原潜完成は2040年、自民党総裁候補の見解
2021-09-28
バイデンが強引に成立させた米英豪軍事同盟AUKUSにより米・EU間に亀裂が走っているだけでなく、原潜が完成する2040年には中国のGDPはアメリカを抜いている。豪・EUの貿易協定も破談になりそうで中国を喜ばせている。 日本の自民党総裁候補の原潜に関する見解も分析したい。 ◆オーストラリアで製造する原潜の完成時期は2040年頃――そのとき中国のGDPはアメリカを抜いている 9月15日に予告なし……
中国と台湾が加盟申請をしているTPP(CPTPP=TPP11)(写真:ロイター/アフロ)
中台TPP加盟申請は世界情勢の分岐点――日本は選択を誤るな
2021-09-24
中国に続いて台湾もまたTPP加盟申請を正式に表明した。中国は米軍のアフガン撤退を受け勢いづきイランをも味方に付けて勢力圏を増やそうとしている。中台の受け入れ可否は世界情勢を決定する。日本は選択を誤るな。 ◆習近平はなぜこのタイミングを狙ったのか 習近平国家主席は昨年11月にTPP(正確にはCPTPP=TPP11)への加入意向を表明した。正式発表のチャンスを狙っていたと思うが、9月16日に正式に……
債務危機にある中国恒大集団(写真:ロイター/アフロ)
中国恒大・債務危機の着地点――背景には優良小学入学にさえ不動産証明要求などの社会問題
2021-09-22
中国恒大集団の債務危機が連鎖拡大するのではないかという不安が世界に広がっている。習近平が描いているであろう着地点を考察するとともに、中間層がなぜ不動産獲得にここまで狂奔するのか、社会背景を読み解く。 ◆中間層が不動産購入に狂奔する理由「その1」:入学時に要求される不動産証明書 江沢民時代からリーマンショック直後あたりまでは、党幹部などを含む富裕層が投機的に不動産を購入する傾向が強く、不動産価格……
Afghans lie on beds at a hospital after they were wounded in the deadly attacks outside the airport in Kabul, Afghanistan, Thursday, Aug. 26, 2021. Two suicide bombers and gunmen attacked crowds of Afghans flocking to Kabul's airport Thursday, transforming a scene of desperation into one of horror in the waning days of an airlift for those fleeing the Taliban takeover. (AP Photo/Khwaja Tawfiq Sediqi)
Afghans lie on beds at a hospital after they were wounded in the deadly attacks outside the airport in Kabul, Afghanistan, Thursday, Aug. 26, 2021. Two suicide bombers and gunmen attacked crowds of Afghans flocking to Kabul's airport Thursday, transforming a scene of desperation into one of horror in the waning days of an airlift for those fleeing the Taliban takeover. (AP Photo/Khwaja Tawfiq Sediqi)
Cooperation between the Taliban and the U.S. Military on Counterterrorism? Terrorist Attack at Kabul Airport and Dilemma of Xi Jinping
2021-09-21
China required the eradication of terrorism as an absolute exchange condition for supporting the Taliban. 28 Taliban soldiers were killed in the recent terrorist attack, and the Taliban is trying to d……
In 2016, Foreign Minister Wang Yi met with the Afghan Foreign Minister to promote peace talks with the Taliban (Photo by Reuters/Afro)
A Poor Man Lying on a Gold Mine: China and Underground Resources in Afghanistan
2021-09-20
Chinese call Afghans “a poor man lying on a gold mine.” One reason why China pledged economic cooperation with the Taliban even before the Taliban’s victory is underground resources in Afghanistan. Le……
自民党総裁選立候補者4人(写真:代表撮影/ロイター/アフロ)
自民党総裁選立候補者4人(写真:代表撮影/ロイター/アフロ)
自民党総裁選4候補の対中政策と中国の反応
2021-09-20
自民党総裁選4候補の対中政策を、人物像を含めて考察し、中国が日本で公表された各候補の対中政策をどのように見ているかを分析する。 ◆河野太郎候補 18日に日本記者クラブで行われた公開討論会で、日中関係に関する記者からの質問に対して河野氏は主として以下のように答えている。 日中関係は人的交流というのが基礎の1つだ。このコロナの中で全くそれが動いていないというのがやはり非常に大きいのではない……

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