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頼小民(写真:ロイター/アフロ)
頼小民(写真:ロイター/アフロ)
中国政府保証
2021-05-27
モラルハザード 中国の資本市場では、創設以来、モラルハザードが問題となっている。 基本的には、負債を返済することができない倒産企業が出れば、政府が常に救済策をまとめてくれ、株価が下がり過ぎれば、政府チームが介入して株式を買ってくれ、相場下落の圧力を和らげるために、規制当局がルールを変更したり新規発行を制限してくれるという考え方である。 この根底にある考え方は、政府の後ろ盾があるため、投資家が実際……
Lai Xiaomin, China Huarong Asset Management Co Chairman, poses during an interview with Reuters on the sidelines of China's National People's Congress (NPC), in Beijing, China March 7, 2017. Picture taken March 7, 2017. REUTERS/Shu Zhang (China)
The Chinese State Guarantee
2021-05-21
Moral Hazard Moral hazard has been a problem in Chinese capital markets since they were founded.  Basically, the idea is that the government will always be there to orchestra a bailout of a failing c……
Global Britain in a competitive age: The Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy. (Published by Cabinet Office)
Global Britain in a competitive age: The Integrated Review of Security, Defence, Development and Foreign Policy. (Published by Cabinet Office)
Britain’s Integrated Review
2021-03-23
Chilly in Springtime It may be springtime in capitals in the Northern hemisphere, but it remains decidedly chilly when it comes to relations between the US, EU, UK, and China.  All three in their own……
Representatives of members of Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal in Santiago, Chile March 8, 2018. REUTERS/Ivan Alvarado (Chile)
Representatives of members of Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) trade deal in Santiago, Chile March 8, 2018. REUTERS/Ivan Alvarado (Chile)
Britain looks for a Role
2021-02-11
Finding a role Since the Brexit referendum in 2016 there has been a continual cry from the victors to hurry up and get Brexit done.  It took until the end of 2020 before the formal and effective exit……
中国は2020年に2.3%の成長率を記録し、主要国で唯一のプラス成長を維持(写真:AP/アフロ)
中国は2020年に2.3%の成長率を記録し、主要国で唯一のプラス成長を維持(写真:AP/アフロ)
ポストコロナの世界での中国の危険な誘惑
2021-02-06
最もましな経済 1年と少し前、このコラムで(EN 796/JP 815)来るべき10年間を展望した際、中国の前途は険しかった。経済成長の鈍化、何年にもわたる無秩序な信用拡大の後で増大する国家および民間セクターの債務不履行、南シナ海での中国の強硬な政策を受けた以前よりはるかに厳しい地政学的環境、香港に対する政治的弾圧、新疆ウイグル自治区で続く人道に対する罪は、習近平指導下の中国が直面した問題の一部……
Workers clean up signboards outside a retail center in Wuhan in central China's Hubei province on Saturday, Jan. 16, 2021. China eked out 2.3% economic growth in 2020, likely becoming the only major economy to expand as shops and factories reopened relatively early from a shutdown to fight the coronavirus while the United States, Japan and Europe struggled with disease flare-ups. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
Workers clean up signboards outside a retail center in Wuhan in central China's Hubei province on Saturday, Jan. 16, 2021. China eked out 2.3% economic growth in 2020, likely becoming the only major economy to expand as shops and factories reopened relatively early from a shutdown to fight the coronavirus while the United States, Japan and Europe struggled with disease flare-ups. (AP Photo/Ng Han Guan)
The Dangerous Allure of China in a Post Covid World
2021-01-26
Least Bad Economy Little over a year ago this column (EN 796 / JP 815) when looking forward to the coming decade saw difficult years ahead for China.  Slowing economic growth, growing state and priva……
中国・EU首脳 投資協定めぐり大筋合意(写真:新華社/アフロ)
中国・EU首脳 投資協定めぐり大筋合意(写真:新華社/アフロ)
EUが年末の土壇場で英国や中国と合意
2021-01-13
1週間に2つの合意 昨年末、英国や欧州の首都は例年と違ってとても静かなクリスマスを迎え、公式イベントや花火、祝賀行事はなかった。だからといって、権力の中枢で動きが一切止まっていたわけではない。 欧州連合(EU)は2020年最後の週に、英国および中国と通商や投資の協定に合意した。わずか数週間前にはどちらも合意は難しそうに思われたものだ。とにかく2020年は驚きが多い年だった。 英国では4年前、国……
香港デモ裁判 民主活動家らに量刑言い渡し(写真:ロイター/アフロ)
香港デモ裁判 民主活動家らに量刑言い渡し(写真:ロイター/アフロ)
香港で朝早く戸を叩く音がする
2021-01-02
起きるはずのことが起きなかった年 すべての国が新型コロナウイルス感染拡大によって変化を強いられ、傷跡を残している。どの国が最も影響を受けているかは判断が難しい。死者数は国によって大きく異なり、どの国の経済も動揺し、政治と政治家は公衆衛生の緊急事態によって軌道修正を余儀なくされている。香港では、ウイルスの最悪の事態をほぼ回避できたにもかかわらず、おそらく最も大きな政治的混乱が起きている。香港は現在……
Chinese President Xi Jinping meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Emmanuel Macron, President of the European Council Charles Michel and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen via video link in Beijing, capital of China, Dec. 30, 2020. During the meeting, Xi and the European leaders announced that the two sides have completed investment agreement negotiations as scheduled. (Xinhua/Ding Lin)
Chinese President Xi Jinping meets with German Chancellor Angela Merkel, French President Emmanuel Macron, President of the European Council Charles Michel and President of the European Commission Ursula von der Leyen via video link in Beijing, capital of China, Dec. 30, 2020. During the meeting, Xi and the European leaders announced that the two sides have completed investment agreement negotiations as scheduled. (Xinhua/Ding Lin)
Busy year end for the EU: dealing with the UK and with China
2021-01-01
One week, two deals Although the capitals of the UK and Europe saw a much-muted Christmas season, devoid of official events and fireworks, the lack of celebration didn’t mean that work wasn’t being d……
Supporters surround a police van after the sentencing of pro-democracy activists Joshua Wong, Agnes Chow and Ivan Lam, at West Kowloon Magistrates' Courts in Hong Kong, China December 2, 2020. REUTERS/Lam Yik (China)
Supporters surround a police van after the sentencing of pro-democracy activists Joshua Wong, Agnes Chow and Ivan Lam, at West Kowloon Magistrates' Courts in Hong Kong, China December 2, 2020. REUTERS/Lam Yik (China)
Hong Kong, The Early Knock at the Door
2020-12-15
The year that wasn’t All countries have been changed and scarred by the coronavirus pandemic.  Which country has been affected most would be hard to say, death tolls have varied widely by country, ec……