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Engagement Is Not a Trap but a Strategic Arena: Rethinking Taiwan’s Cross-Strait Dilemma Beyond Security Anxiety and Policy Vacuum
Taiwan opposition leader Cheng Li-wun, delivers remarks ahead of her trip to China at the Kuomintang (KMT) HQ in Taipei(写真:AP/アフロ)

In recent weeks, few issues have generated as much controversy in Taiwan as the visit of Kuomintang (KMT) Chairwoman Cheng Li-Wun to China. Public reactions have been swift and polarized, reflecting not only partisan divisions but also a deeper unease about the meaning and consequences of cross-Strait engagement. Beneath this episode lies a more fundamental fault line in Taiwan’s strategic discourse: whether engagement with China should be understood as a necessary policy instrument or as an inherent vulnerability that risks undermining Taiwan’s political autonomy.

Within perspectives that emphasize Taiwan as a political subject, a powerful and increasingly consolidated proposition has emerged—that under conditions of profound asymmetry, engagement is not merely risky but structurally self-defeating. According to this view, any form of political interaction is likely to be appropriated by Beijing as part of its united front strategy, transforming dialogue into influence and contact into penetration. In this framework, engagement becomes not a policy choice but a strategic trap, one that incrementally erodes Taiwan’s sovereignty through symbolic and institutional infiltration.

This concern is neither exaggerated nor ideologically driven. It is grounded in long-term observations of Chinese political strategy, including influence operations, narrative shaping, and elite co-optation. It also reflects a deeply rooted commitment within Taiwan’s society to defend democratic institutions and maintain political autonomy under conditions of external pressure. Yet precisely because this argument is compelling, it demands closer scrutiny. For if engagement is always already a trap, what strategic space—if any—remains available to Taiwan? And more importantly, what are the consequences of removing engagement entirely from the realm of policy choice?

Securitization and the Narrowing of Strategic Imagination

From the perspective of international relations theory, the framing of engagement as an inherent threat can be understood as a process of securitization. In this process, a policy instrument is redefined as an existential danger, thereby shifting it from the domain of strategic deliberation into the realm of necessity and prohibition. While securitization is effective in mobilizing public vigilance and reinforcing political boundaries, it also carries a significant cost: it narrows the space for policy imagination.

Once engagement is securitized, the spectrum of strategic options collapses into a binary opposition—either reject engagement or risk being absorbed. This form of reasoning replaces strategic analysis with structural determinism. It assumes that asymmetry inevitably produces domination, and that interaction inevitably leads to vulnerability. Such an assumption, while intuitively appealing, obscures a critical dimension of international politics: the possibility that even under asymmetric conditions, actors retain the capacity to shape, mediate, and redirect interaction.

The issue, therefore, is not whether engagement carries risk—it clearly does—but whether that risk is treated as a fixed outcome or as a variable that can be structured and managed.

Engagement as a Structured and Mediated Process

Engagement is not an outcome but a policy instrument—and like all policy instruments, its effects depend on how it is structured, constrained, and strategically deployed. Under conditions of asymmetry, interaction is rarely neutral; it is filtered through institutional arrangements, political narratives, and external alignments.

Comparative experience provides important insight. Vietnam, despite its complex historical relationship with China, maintains extensive economic interaction while simultaneously reinforcing political boundaries and security autonomy. Singapore, through dense institutionalization and global economic integration, has embedded its engagement with China within a broader network of international partnerships, thereby reducing dependency while maintaining flexibility.

These cases suggest that engagement under asymmetry does not necessarily imply submission. Rather, it can function as a controlled and calibrated process, shaped by institutional design and strategic intent. The key variable is not exposure to risk per se, but the capacity to define the terms of interaction. To assume that engagement inevitably leads to compromise is to overlook the possibility that it can also generate leverage, information, and strategic positioning.

The Hidden Costs of Non-Engagement

What is often overlooked in Taiwan’s current debate is that the absence of engagement does not eliminate risk—it redistributes it, shifting it from infiltration to miscalculation.

Taiwan is increasingly entering a condition characterized by low interaction and high confrontation. Official communication channels have weakened or disappeared, and institutional dialogue has largely stalled. In their place, interaction is now mediated through indirect and often unstable forms, including military signaling, media narratives, and diplomatic competition in third-party arenas.

In such a context, even relatively minor developments—military exercises, law enforcement incidents, or shifts in political rhetoric—can be interpreted as signals of strategic intent. Without institutionalized mechanisms for clarification and communication, the likelihood of misperception increases significantly. Historical experience in international politics demonstrates that relationships lacking communication are not necessarily stable; rather, they are prone to escalation precisely because actors lack reliable channels to interpret one another’s actions.

Ironically, the more engagement is feared and rejected, the less capacity exists to manage its consequences. What disappears is not risk itself, but the institutional tools required to interpret, absorb, and contain it.

Asymmetry and the Persistence of Strategic Agency

A recurring assumption in Taiwan’s strategic discourse is that asymmetry fundamentally constrains agency. While disparities in power are undeniable, this conclusion is analytically incomplete. Small-state theory suggests that asymmetry does not eliminate agency but transforms its form.

Under conditions of structural constraint, weaker actors often rely on indirect strategies, including selective engagement, institutional mediation, and international linkage. These strategies do not eliminate vulnerability, but they can redistribute and mitigate it. What appears as structural weakness may, under certain conditions, be converted into strategic leverage.

In this sense, the question is not whether engagement can be exploited—any interaction carries that possibility—but whether Taiwan possesses the institutional capacity to shape its outcomes. If such capacity is lacking, the problem lies not in engagement itself but in its governance and design.

Democratic Pluralism as Strategic Resource

Criticism of engagement often extends to concerns about Taiwan’s internal political pluralism. Divergent positions among political actors are frequently interpreted as signals of inconsistency or weakness.

Yet this concern reflects a deeper tension between democratic practice and strategic clarity. While pluralism may complicate policy coherence, it can also generate strategic ambiguity, increasing interpretive costs for external actors. In international politics, ambiguity is not always a liability; it can function as a form of indirect deterrence by making intentions more difficult to predict.

Major democracies such as the United States and Japan exhibit similar patterns. Their internal debates over China policy do not necessarily weaken their strategic position; rather, they provide flexibility and adaptability in response to changing circumstances. In this sense, democratic heterogeneity should not be viewed solely as a constraint, but as a potential strategic resource.

The Real Challenge: Institutionalizing Engagement

Taiwan’s central challenge, therefore, is not excessive engagement, but the absence of institutionalized engagement.

As formal mechanisms have deteriorated, interaction has not disappeared—it has shifted into informal, opaque, and often unregulated domains. Such de-institutionalized engagement is inherently more difficult to monitor and more likely to generate political suspicion and security concerns.

The issue, therefore, is not whether engagement exists, but whether it is governed. Without institutional constraints, transparency, and public accountability, engagement becomes politically contentious and strategically unstable.

From a policy perspective, the key question should be reframed: not whether Taiwan should engage, but how engagement can be structured under conditions that preserve autonomy, maintain transparency, and ensure accountability. This requires institutional design, not categorical rejection.

From Risk Avoidance to Risk Governance

Taiwan’s emphasis on safeguarding its political subjectivity remains essential. It reflects a necessary awareness of structural vulnerability and external pressure. However, when this awareness evolves into a deterministic assumption—that engagement inevitably leads to compromise—it risks narrowing Taiwan’s strategic horizon.

The real question is not whether Taiwan can avoid risk, but whether it can govern it. Risk is not eliminated but transformed, and strategy lies in managing that transformation across different domains.

To reduce engagement to a structural trap is to foreclose strategic imagination; to abandon it altogether is to concede the arena in which strategy is enacted. Engagement, therefore, should not be treated as a liability to be avoided, but as a domain to be structured, regulated, and strategically leveraged.

This is not a comfortable position—but it is the strategic reality Taiwan must confront.

 

陳建甫博士、淡江大学中国大陸研究所所長(2020年~)(副教授)、新南向及び一帯一路研究センター所長(2018年~)。 研究テーマは、中国の一帯一路インフラ建設、中国のシャープパワー、中国社会問題、ASEAN諸国・南アジア研究、新南向政策、アジア選挙・議会研究など。オハイオ州立大学で博士号を取得し、2006年から2008年まで淡江大学未来学研究所所長を務めた。 台湾アジア自由選挙観測協会(TANFREL)の創設者及び名誉会長であり、2010年フィリピン(ANFREL)、2011年タイ(ANFREL)、2012年モンゴル(Women for Social Progress WSP)、2013年マレーシア(Bersih)、2013年カンボジア(COMFREL)、2013年ネパール(ANFREL)、2015年スリランカ、2016年香港、2017年東ティモール、2018年マレーシア(TANFREL)、2019年インドネシア(TANFREL)、2019年フィリピン(TANFREL)など数多くのアジア諸国の選挙観測任務に参加した。 台湾の市民社会問題に積極的に関与し、公民監督国会連盟の常務理事(2007年~2012年)、議会のインターネットビデオ中継チャネルを提唱するグループ(VOD)の招集者(2012年~)、台湾平和草の根連合の理事長(2008年~2013年)、台湾世代教育基金会の理事(2014年~2019年)などを歴任した。現在は、台湾民主化基金会理事(2018年~)、台湾2050教育基金会理事(2020年~)、台湾中国一帯一路研究会理事長(2020年~)、『淡江国際・地域研究季刊』共同発行人などを務めている。 // Chien-Fu Chen(陳建甫) is an associate professor, currently serves as the Chair, Graduate Institute of China Studies, Tamkang University, TAIWAN (2020-). Dr. Chen has worked the Director, the Center of New Southbound Policy and Belt Road Initiative (NSPBRI) since 2018. Dr. Chen focuses on China’s RRI infrastructure construction, sharp power, and social problems, Indo-Pacific strategies, and Asian election and parliamentary studies. Prior to that, Dr. Chen served as the Chair, Graduate Institute of Future Studies, Tamkang University (2006-2008) and earned the Ph.D. from the Ohio State University, USA. Parallel to his academic works, Dr. Chen has been actively involved in many civil society organizations and activities. He has been as the co-founder, president, Honorary president, Taiwan Asian Network for Free Elections(TANFREL) and attended many elections observation mission in Asia countries, including Philippine (2010), Thailand (2011), Mongolian (2012), Malaysia (2013 and 2018), Cambodian (2013), Nepal (2013), Sri Lanka (2015), Hong Kong (2016), Timor-Leste (2017), Indonesia (2019) and Philippine (2019). Prior to election mission, Dr. Chen served as the Standing Director of the Citizen Congress Watch (2007-2012) and the President of Taiwan Grassroots Alliance for Peace (2008-2013) and Taiwan Next Generation Educational Foundation (2014-2019). Dr. Chen works for the co-founders, president of China Belt Road Studies Association(CBRSA) and co-publisher Tamkang Journal of International and Regional Studies Quarterly (Chinese Journal). He also serves as the trustee board of Taiwan Foundation for Democracy(TFD) and Taiwan 2050 Educational Foundation.